Thursday, March 22, 2012

March Madness Lesson

Lesson Learned: March Madness is unpredictable. Hence why no one (at least not that I've ever heard of) has ever gotten a perfect bracket. Research and stats and all the other paper details can not fully depict how a team will perform when push comes to shove on the court.

Subsequently, taking time to research the teams before making your picks is a ridiculous waste of time. Seriously. I poured like six hours into evaluating the teams and their coaches and other things and used that as a model to pick the winners of the games. And of the teams playing in the Sweet Sixteen starting today, I only had six of them picked correctly. Six. Out of sixteen. That's pretty awful. And the maximum number of Elite Eight teams that I can have correct is four, which fortunately also happens to be the same four teams in my Final Four. So in order for me to get any redemption in this bracket, I need to see wins out of Kentucky, Michigan State, Ohio State, and UNC over the course of the next few days. And then hopefully Kentucky and UNC can pull off wins again to make it into the National Title Game. Which might be asking a lot since one of UNC's lead players went down with a broken wrist last weekend.

Ironically (and annoyingly), my other bracket--the bracket that I filled out completely on a whim before doing any research whatsoever--is doing significantly better. Significantly. I have eleven of the sixteen Sweet Sixteen teams (nearly twice as many as my other bracket!) and the possibility for all but one of the Elite Eight teams. Unfortunately, the Elite Eight team that I've lost I also had going on to the Final Four (stupid Duke), so that'll hurt me, but I still have my two National Title teams.

A lot can change between now and the outcome of the tournament, but it's safe to say that from now on I will likely be going with my gut when it comes time to fill out my March Madness brackets. Maybe supplemented with just a little research. Maybe.

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